How Underwater Mortgages Can Float the Economy

We have previously written about the plight of homeowners whose homes are now worth less than the mortgage. Some have decided to walk away from property while others are making their mortgage payments. In the face of low mortgage interest rates, refinancing would be a good idea but with LTVs, loan to value ratios, being what they are homeowners cannot refinance.


The Federal government stepped in with a program allowing banks to make loans up to 125% of LTV, but there have been few loans made.

The Sunday New York Times carries an Op-ed on the issue written by Glenn Hubbard and Chris Mayer.

“RECENT calls for another federal stimulus package raise an important question: Before considering costly short-term measures to raise overall consumer demand, have we done enough to ensure that financial markets will work properly and lead us to recovery? For housing — the sector at the center of the crisis — the answer is no. But the good news is that it might be possible to improve the housing market and invigorate the economy in a way that won’t require a costly stimulus package.

“In a normally functioning mortgage market, almost all homeowners would have refinanced their mortgages to take advantage of low rates. Yet today, low interest rates are doing little to stimulate the housing market because of other stresses, including declines in house prices, falling household incomes and banks’ wariness of making loans.

“To change this dynamic, we propose a new program through which the federal government would direct the public and quasi-public entities that guarantee mortgages — Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, the Department of Veterans Affairs loan-guarantee program and the Federal Housing Administration — to make it far easier and quicker for homeowners to refinance.”

Whoa, haven’t we been down this road? But, they write,

“This program would be simple: the agencies would direct loan servicers — the middlemen who monitor and report loan payments — to send a short application to all eligible borrowers promising to allow them to refinance with minimal paperwork. Servicers would receive a fixed fee for each mortgage they refinanced, which would be rolled into the mortgage to eliminate costs to taxpayers.”

How does this work in dollars and cents?

“Consider a family that bought a home in 2006 for $225,000, taking out a $200,000 fixed-rate mortgage at the prevailing 6 percent interest rate with monthly payments of about $1,200. That home is now worth about $175,000. The family still owes $189,000 and thus cannot refinance because they are underwater.

“But under our proposal, the family would be offered a new mortgage at today’s prevailing rate of 4.3 percent. The family would see a 15 percent decline in their monthly mortgage payment, saving more than $2,000 per year. This would not only help homeowners through the current crisis, but would be the equivalent of a 26-year tax cut of more than 4 percent of income, assuming the family spends around 30 percent of income on housing.”

But prior experience has shown mortgage programs to be a bust. They know that and ask,

“What went wrong? First, the program was not widely publicized relative to the federal government’s efforts to help with more modest loan modifications. Second, the refinancings require substantial upfront costs for borrowers. Third, many borrowers — those with second liens or shaky incomes — were locked out. (About 20 percent of all borrowers with federally backed mortgages have a second lien.) Last, many borrowers do not know the current value of their homes, and are reluctant to pay to get an appraisal only to be turned down for a refinancing.

“THE program we propose addresses these issues. It would have minimal costs, which we would roll into the cost of the mortgage rather than forcing homeowners to make a big upfront payment. For mortgages with second liens, the government could request a blanket approval from all servicers to allow the new mortgages to have priority over existing second ones. It is in the interest of the servicers of second liens to allow such refinancings, because they reduce payments on the first mortgage and thus lower default risk on the second lien.”

Seems like common sense to me, what do you think? Read the full Op-ed.
Glenn Hubbard, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush and the co-author of “Seeds of Destruction: Why the Path to Economic Ruin Runs Through Washington, and How to Reclaim American Prosperity,” is the dean of the Columbia Business School, where Chris Mayer is a senior vice dean.

For your next title order or

if you have questions about what you see here, contact

Stephen M. Flatow, Esq.

Stephen's Title Agency, LLC

165 Passaic Avenue, Suite 101

Fairfield, NJ 07004

Tel 973-227-4724 - Fax 973-556-1628

E-mail Stephenstitle AT comcast.net - www.stephenstitle.com

From the New York Times - Housing Woes Bring New Cry: Let Market Fall

Bad news in the forecast for homeowners on Labor Day? The New York Times prints, "Housing Woes Bring New Cry: Let Market Fall."

The unexpectedly deep plunge in home sales this summer is likely to force the Obama administration to choose between future homeowners and current ones, a predicament officials had been eager to avoid.

The Obama administration has been trying to pull a rabbit out of the hat when it comes to the falling value of American homes and poor market demand.

Over the last 18 months, the administration has rolled out just about every program it could think of to prop up the ailing housing market, using tax credits, mortgage modification programs, low interest rates, government-backed loans and other assistance intended to keep values up and delinquent borrowers out of foreclosure. The goal was to stabilize the market until a resurgent economy created new households that demanded places to live.

With the exception of the tax credits gimmick, these programs have not been successful. The mortgage modification program has been an outright disaster.  Maybe drastic action is in order.

Some economists and analysts are now urging a dose of shock therapy that would greatly shift the benefits to future homeowners: Let the housing market crash.

When prices are lower, these experts argue, buyers will pour in, creating the elusive stability the government has spent billions upon billions trying to achieve.

There is a lot at play here; financially and emotionally. We've complained before about "strategic defaults" where a homeowner walks away from his home because its market value has fallen below the value of the mortgage. And we've mentioned that every seller thinks her home is worth a million dollars when it's listed for sale.

Maybe the "shock therapy" is what is needed.

Read the full column, and let us know what you think.

For your next title order or

if you have questions about what you see here, contact

Stephen M. Flatow, Esq.

Stephen's Title Agency, LLC

165 Passaic Avenue, Suite 101

Fairfield, NJ 07004

Tel - Fax 973-556-1628

E-mail Stephenstitle AT comcast.net - www.stephenstitle.com

Mortgage modification program looks like a bust with a 50% dropout rate

We have previously written about the Obama Administration’s program to encourage mortgage modifications.  Well, the news is in and it’s not good.

According to the Associated Press,

“Nearly half of the 1.3 million homeowners who enrolled in the Obama administration's flagship mortgage-relief program have fallen out.

“The program is intended to help those at risk of foreclosure by lowering their monthly mortgage payments. Friday's report from the Treasury Department suggests the $75 billion government effort is failing to slow the tide of foreclosures in the United States, economists say.”

 “Approximately 630,000 people who had tried to get their monthly mortgage payments lowered through the government program have been cut loose through July, according to the Treasury report. That's about 48 percent of  those who had enrolled since March 2009. And it is up from more than 40 percent through June.”

 Who is to blame?

“Many borrowers have complained that the government program is a bureaucratic nightmare. They say banks often lose their documents and then claim borrowers did not send back the necessary paperwork.

“The banking industry said borrowers weren't sending back their paperwork. They also have accused the Obama administration of initially pressuring them to sign up borrowers without insisting first on proof of their income. When banks later moved to collect the information, many troubled homeowners were disqualified or dropped out.”

 One thing is clear—we are facing more foreclosures.

Read the full report.

If you have questions about what you see here, contact
Stephen M. Flatow
Stephen's Title Agency, LLC
www.stephenstitle.com
StephensTitle@comcast.net

Mortgage servicers take on two roles, and the homeowner pays

In her column, Fair Game, in the Sunday New York Times, Gretchen Morgenson lays bare a possible reason that homeowners are not getting approved for mortgage modifications—the folks who make those decisions also own junior liens that may be prejudiced by those decisions.

Morgenson introduces you to Brad Miller, a Democratic representative from North Carolina with a background in consumer law.  “This past March, Mr. Miller introduced a bill that would eliminate one of the most pernicious conflicts of interest in banking today: the dueling roles played by the big mortgage servicers.”

“When borrowers are defaulting in droves, as they are now, loan servicing becomes much more complex and laborious. Servicers must chase delinquent borrowers for payments and otherwise manage these uneasy relationships, possibly into foreclosure.

“So where does the conflict of interest lie? Often, the same bank that services a primary mortgage owned by another institution also owns a second mortgage or home equity line of credit on the same property. When that borrower has trouble meeting both payments, the servicer has an interest in making sure that amounts owed on the second lien, which it owns, continue to be paid even if the first loan, which it has no interest in, slides into delinquency. About two-thirds of primary mortgages are serviced by banks who do not own them but hold the accompanying seconds.”

Miller has some good ideas but knows it will be an uphill fight.  We’ll keep you posted.

Read the full story.

Your comments are welcome.

If you have questions about what you see here,

contact Stephen M. Flatow

Stephen's Title Agency, LLC

www.stephenstitle.com

StephensTitle@comcast.net

How many foreclosures in a million? A lot.

One million is the number being bantered about of houses that may be lost in foreclosure actions this year.

Rosalyn Dalebout rents out space in her home to three tenants, has cut off her phone service and canceled her earthquake and life insurance — all to pay her mortgage every month.

So far, she's one of the lucky ones.

More than 1 million American households are likely to lose their homes to foreclosure this year, as lenders work their way through a huge backlog of borrowers who have fallen behind on their loans.

Nearly 528,000 homes were taken over by lenders in the first six months of the year. If foreclosures continue at that rate, the yearly number would eclipse the more than 900,000 homes repossessed in 2009, RealtyTrac Inc., a foreclosure listing service, said Thursday.

Whatever the actual number, things do not look well for American homeowners or the banks who gave them the mortgage. Does government have a fix? Perhaps loosening up mortgage modifications for those who are current on their loans but whose homes are valued for less than the amount of mortgage would be a good first step.

What do you think?

The Associated Press story by Alex Viega can be found here - Homes lost to foreclosure on track for 1M in 2010

If you have questions about what you see here,
contact Stephen M. Flatow
Stephen's Title Agency, LLC
973-556-1628 Fax
StephensTitle AT comcast.net